Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 1.716022 1.961421 2.230917 2.549071 2.914729 3.322206 3.811264
2025-08-24 1.356406 1.675532 2.055026 2.540512 3.146526 3.879907 4.837642
2025-08-31 1.095929 1.444982 1.888837 2.496678 3.310773 4.368147 5.853390
2025-09-07 0.964861 1.346998 1.862394 2.611992 3.680723 5.159236 7.376490
2025-09-14 0.846788 1.243036 1.805902 2.669321 3.970674 5.875309 8.904404
2025-09-21 0.735502 1.128841 1.713915 2.655097 4.146076 6.441647 10.291591
2025-09-28 0.626533 1.000527 1.580187 2.553257 4.165362 6.763572 11.336042
2025-10-05 0.583690 0.968063 1.587679 2.671199 4.545307 7.702060 13.522851
2025-10-12 0.548928 0.943050 1.602079 2.799425 4.955837 8.742164 16.038610
2025-10-19 0.507017 0.899769 1.579073 2.857691 5.248499 9.611868 18.373979
2025-10-26 0.468860 0.857751 1.552054 2.903172 5.520636 10.475787 20.823548
2025-11-02 0.418426 0.786988 1.464307 2.823150 5.542476 10.866635 22.393766
2025-11-09 0.365083 0.705659 1.349664 2.681205 5.433095 11.004259 23.508328
2025-11-16 0.332830 0.661139 1.299967 2.661427 5.567935 11.654284 25.822148
2025-11-23 0.301027 0.613658 1.238722 2.609813 5.628876 12.158442 27.899228
2025-11-30 0.289477 0.606022 1.256830 2.727453 6.070893 13.548002 32.240297
2025-12-07 0.273345 0.586754 1.248293 2.785724 6.388476 14.705377 36.229165
2025-12-14 0.252563 0.554960 1.209134 2.769954 6.532926 15.483010 39.414116
2025-12-21 0.226935 0.509477 1.134694 2.663068 6.445917 15.695758 41.190222
2025-12-28 0.220595 0.506917 1.156253 2.786043 6.937094 17.398733 47.207333
2026-01-04 0.215179 0.505828 1.180975 2.919875 7.474918 19.300716 54.117601
2026-01-11 0.205358 0.493115 1.176733 2.980675 7.832606 20.786925 60.125600
2026-01-18 0.195485 0.479134 1.167780 3.028154 8.161717 22.246071 66.326117